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Project Estimation Techniques: 10 Methods Compared

Updated on November 11, 2026 https://doitify.com/planning/estimation-techniques/
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Summary

10 estimation techniques compared: analogous, parametric, bottom-up, three-point, planning poker, expert judgment, t-shirt sizing, velocity, Delphi, and machi

Quick answer

10 estimation techniques compared: analogous, parametric, bottom-up, three-point, planning poker, expert judgment, t-shirt sizing, velocity, Delphi, and machine estimation — when each works.

The top-down

Analogous, parametric, expert judgment — fast, coarse, for early phases.

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The bottom-up

Work-package sums, planning poker, Delphi — accurate, expensive, for commitments.

The agile

Story points, t-shirt sizing, velocity forecasting — relative estimation for changing work.

The data-driven

Parametric rates, machine estimation — statistics where data exists.

Choosing

By accuracy needed and info available — early = top-down; commitment = bottom-up.

Bottom line

10 estimation techniques compared: analogous, parametric, bottom-up, three-point, planning poker, expert judgment, t-shirt sizing, velocity, Delphi, and machine estimation — when each works.

FAQ

Match accuracy need to info available — there's no universal winner.

Analogous or expert judgment — speed over precision.

If this post was helpful, you might also enjoy What Does a PMO Do? Roles, Responsibilities, and Daily Work and Resource Utilization: How to Calculate It, Benchmarks, and Best Practices.

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